Did bubonic plague really cause the
Black Death? This was one of the questions tackled in BBC TV’s Decoding Disaster, which went out under
the Timewatch banner.
What is certain is that the
epidemic was one of the greatest, if not the greatest, disaster in history,
killing perhaps 75 million people in Europe and Asia from 1346 to 1353 – 30 to
40 per cent of the population. The conventional explanation is that it was
bubonic plague, carried by the fleas of the black rat, along with pneumonic and
septicaemic plague which could be transmitted from person to person.
Sceptics, though, have suggested
there were just not enough rats to spread the disease on the scale that
happened, so other ideas have been suggested – notably anthrax or some kind of
haemorrhagic plague, like Ebola. Others
maintain that with a death toll on this scale, a number of different diseases
must have been raging at the same time.
At the time, top academics at Paris
University came up with their own explanation: a triple conjunction of Saturn,
Jupiter and Mars in the 40th degree of Aquarius on 20 March 1345, but they were
humble enough to acknowledge that some things were ‘hidden from even the most
highly trained intellects.’
For the full story, see A Disastrous History of the World. See
also my posts of 19 January and 31 March 2009, 1 September 2011 and 17 December
2013.
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